Goldin, Claudia and Lawrence F. Katz. 2002.
"The Power of the Pill: Oral Contraceptives and Women's Career and Marriage Decisions."
Journal of Political Economy
110(August): 730-770.
online
[HB1.J7]
Women's professional education <- marriage delay <- pill availability
Model
DVs: change in marriage age; professional education "investments"
contraceptive use among younger women takes off in late 1940s
g cohort (Figures 1 & 2)
but not widely available until late 1960s because of
changes in state laws
uses this state variation to test effects of pill
not endogenous because legal changes motivated by
non-gender concerns
state laws do affect pill use: table 3
Mechanisms:
Pill reduces the cost of marriage delay (p747). Why?
Pill also creates a thicker marriage market for delayers
Social multiplier effect
[an economist trying to think like a sociologist]
Design:
college graduate women only. Why?
state effects estimated without random coefficient model
Results:
Career decisions of college women changed abruptly around 1970
(Figure 4)
Age at first sex declines after the pill (Figure 6)
Age at marriage increases with access to pill (Table 4)
Share of college women who are lawyers doctors increases with access
to pill (Table 5)
Access (law) results more important than use because of endogeneity of
use. (Maybe more women using the pill because they are seeking
professional careers).
Implications:
Importance of sexual behavior for gender outcomes.
methods: use of exogenous variation in legal changes to investigate
effects.