University of Maryland
Sociology 441: Stratification 

Family structure effects on stratification outcomes

How big an effect?

Is the family structure -> child outcome association truly causal?

Reverse causation

Associations, such as between single parenthood and lower child outcomes, may not be a result of single parenthood causing child outcomes, but because the direction of causation is reversed. This may be a stretch for this example, but it is not inconceivable that problems with difficult children put extra stress on a marriage and thus cause disruption. So, the association may result not because:

single parenthood -> low child outcomes

but, because in part:

low child outcomes -> single parenthood.

Although we have little evidence that the opposite causal direction is a very important source of this association, it is important to recognize the possibility of both alternative causal interpretations (both are results of a third cause and the causal direction is opposite). The best social research attempts to check for both possibilities before making a causal interpretation.
 


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Last updated September 18, 2002
comments to: Reeve Vanneman. reeve@umd.edu